NCR’s COVID reproduction rate dipped to 4.69, says OCTA fellow

By ANNA FELICIA BAJO, GMA News

Published January 12, 2022 1:09pm

The coronavirus reproduction rate in the National Capital Region decreased to 4.69, OCTA Research fellow Dr. Guido David said on Wednesday.

According to David, a decreasing reproduction rate indicates that the trend is slowing down. He said this could mean that the number of cases are still increasing but at a “slower pace.”

“Reproduction number in the NCR decreased to 4.69. The reproduction number was at 6.16 on Jan. 2. This is a good sign. Until then, let us stay safe everyone and follow best health practices,” David said in a tweet.

David, however, is not certain if the COVID-19 cases are already at its peak.

“In past surges, a peak is always preceded by a decreasing reproduction number. Are we close to the peak in NCR? Hopefully. Because the trends being observed are based on limited data, there is still uncertainty when the peak might happen,” David said.

Earlier, Health Secretary Francisco Duque III said the COVID-19 case surge in the Philippines is still in its acceleration phase, as the number of infections in other regions are observed to be increasing.

On Tuesday, the country’s COVID-19 case count surpassed three million after the DOH reported 28,007 new infections, bringing the country’s tally to 3,026,473.

A bulk of these infections came from Metro Manila, data from the DOH show.

Duque said the “lower” number in new cases was due to the low testing output of laboratories. –LBG, GMA News

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