NCR trends improve but Metro Manila remains at ‘low risk’ for COVID-19 –OCTA

Despite an improvement in its trends, the National Capital Region (NCR) is still at risk for COVID-19, although at the “low risk” level, the OCTA Research group said Saturday.

In a tweet, OCTA Research fellow Dr. Guido David reported that for the period February 12 to 18, NCR’s average daily attack rate (ADAR) improved to 3.36 from 5.49 in the previous week, and its positivity rate improved to 6% from from 9%.

Further, NCR’s healthcare utilization rate decreased from 29% to 26% and its reproduction number decreased slightly from 0.22 to 0.20.

Reproduction rate refers to the number of people infected by one case. A reproduction number that is below 1 indicates that the transmission of the virus is slowing down.

ADAR, on the other hand, pertains to the incidence showing the average number of new cases in a period per 100,000 people.

The positivity rate refers to the percentage of people who were found positive for COVID-19 among the total number of individuals tested.

The data was taken from the information obtained by the Department of Health for the week of February 12 to 18, and were compared to the period from February 5 to 11.

The Philippines on Friday recorded 2,232 new COVID-19 infections increasing the nationwide tally to 3,648,925.

Of the total number of cases, 65,796 are active; 3,527,720 recovered; and 55,409 died. –KG, GMA News

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