NCR COVID-19 reproduction rate at 0.35; nearly all other indicators down –OCTA

Reproduction rate in the National Capital Region (NCR) fell down to 0.35 during the November 29 to December 5, 2021 period, according to the latest report by independent group OCTA Research on Monday.

The number is way lower compared to 0.92 recorded during the same period last year, and only slightly lower compared to the 0.36 recorded during the November 26 to December 2, 2021 period.

Reproduction rate refers to the number of people infected by one case. A reproduction number that is below 1 indicates that the transmission of the virus is slowing down.

Average new cases per day also marked a significant decrease — from 370 last year to 112 this year.

“Comparing the NCR the past week with the same time period last year, the averange number of cases is lower by 70%,” OCTA said on Twitter.

For his part, OCTA fellow Dr. Guido David said, “The testing level is around the same, but nearly all indicators are better now [in the NCR].”

NCR recorded a 0.79 daily attack rate per 100,000 from November 29 to December 6 this year compared to 2.61 during the same period last year. For positivity rate, it was 1.1% this year compared to last year’s 3.7%.

The region, meanwhile, conducted more tests this year — 18,029 average number compared to last year’s 17,974.

Guido said hospital bed occupancy for COVID-19 is lower this year compared to last year (21% vs. 37%), but the number of occupied ICU beds is higher (350 vs. 322).

OCTA last week said NCR can now be classified as “very low risk” for COVID-19.

NCR will remain under Alert Level 2 until December 15, 2021, according to the government’s COVID-19 task force.

Under Alert Level 2 — the second lowest in the new alert level system — certain establishments and activities are allowed at 50% capacity indoors for fully vaccinated adults (and minors, even if unvaccinated) and 70% capacity outdoors. —KBK, GMA News

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