COVID-19 cases to reach peak by end January? Too early to say –OCTA fellow


Published January 5, 2022 6:11pm

OCTA Research fellow Dr. Guido David said Wednesday that it is still early to determine if COVID-19 cases will reach their peak by the end of January.

“It’s too early to determine when the peak will happen because there are a lot of variables, it could happen [in] mid January if we follow the South Africa experience. I’m not saying that’s what would happen, it could also be around the end of January,” David said during a Go Negosyo forum.

OCTA Research is an independent group that gives projections and warnings about the COVID-19 pandemic

David said there are still a lot of uncertainties at present when it comes to the COVID-19 data.

He also said the effect of the Alert Level 3 is not yet seen given that it was only enforced last January 3.

“So far, we are still seeing the effects of the holiday with the increased mobility. Perhaps with the decreased mobility, that will play a role and that will change the projections, somewhat,” David said.

The Department of Health (DOH) has said the number of COVID-19 cases in the country — which is believed to be triggered by the Omicron variant — could reach its peak by the end of January.

DOH Undersecretary Maria Rosario Vergeire said this was based on the Department of Health’s initial projections on the current trend in daily infections.

The Philippines recorded 10,775 more coronavirus disease infections, increasing the Philippines’ total tally to 2,871,745.–LDF, GMA News

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